According to the biannual report on the World Economic Outlook (WEO), published Tuesday by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Tunisia is expected to record economic growth of 2.5% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026. These projections are accompanied by an inflation rate estimated at 5.9% next year and 6.1% in 2026, while the budget deficit is expected to stand at -3.1% of the GDP in 2025 and -3.3% in 2026.
The IMF has slightly revised upwards its overall projections compared to its April report, but they remain lower than those of October 2024. Global growth should therefore slow from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.2% in 2025, then 3.1% in 2026. In advanced economies, it would plateau around 1.5%, while emerging and developing countries would progress slightly. above 4%.
Global inflation is expected to continue to fall to reach 4.2% in 2025 and 3.7% in 2026. World trade is expected to increase on average by 2.9% in 2025–2026, growth considered slower than that of 2024 (3.5%), due in particular to the persistent fragmentation of international trade.
