In its report “World Economic Outlook” published in April 2025, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its economic projections for Tunisia downwards.
The institution now forecasts growth of 1.4% for the years 2025 and 2026, against 1.6% anticipated in October 2024 for 2024 and 2025. By 2029, growth should slow more to reach 1.2%.
On the inflation side, the IMF estimates that it will continue its downward trend, from 7.1% in 2024 to 6.1% in 2025, before going up slightly to 6.5% in 2026.
Globally, the IMF warns that growth should slow down, against the backdrop of major political reorientations and increasing uncertainties. According to the report, the global economy, after having shown signs of stabilization, is again faced with turbulence due to the rise in customs duties, weakened international cooperation and persistent trade tensions.
The report also warns against aggravation of risks, in particular linked to changing public policies, the fragility of the financial markets and a weakening of investor confidence. These factors could negatively affect global growth in the short and long term.
In response to these challenges, the IMF recommends that countries strengthen international cooperation and promote a more stable and predictable commercial environment. He also suggests tackling structural imbalances by promoting the use of seniors, women, and improving the integration of migrants and refugees to stimulate productivity.
